Where and when is Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki played?

Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

Urawa

V-varen Nagasaki

The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for V-varen Nagasaki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Urawa (1,932) and V-varen Nagasaki (1,910).

Urawa win44 %

Draw26 %

V-varen Nagasaki win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; V-varen Nagasaki have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Urawa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Machida Zelvia(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)	1-4	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Gamba Osaka(away)	3-4	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Omiya Ardija(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026	FC Ryukyu(away)	4-5	Friendlies Clubs

V-varen Nagasaki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	2-4	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Utrecht(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-0	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Urawa win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 V-varen Nagasaki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 22, 2024	V-varen Nagasaki 1-0 Urawa	J-League Cup
Aug 5, 2018	Urawa 0-0 V-varen Nagasaki	J1 League
Mar 10, 2018	V-varen Nagasaki 1-1 Urawa	J1 League

Last archived meeting: V-varen Nagasaki vs Urawa on May 22, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Urawa score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; V-varen Nagasaki score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Urawa	1.5	1.8	4	8/15	7/15
V-varen Nagasaki	1.2	1.5	2	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Urawa sit 19th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and V-varen Nagasaki sit 16th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	V-varen Nagasaki	3	1	0	2	4	6	3
19	Urawa	3	0	0	3	5	11	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki?: The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for V-varen Nagasaki.
Where and when is Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki played?: Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.