Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka played?

Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

Tokyo Verdy

Avispa Fukuoka

The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Tokyo Verdy (1,872) and Avispa Fukuoka (1,926).

Tokyo Verdy win29 %

Draw27 %

Avispa Fukuoka win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokyo Verdy have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Avispa Fukuoka have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokyo Verdy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(home)	1-1	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	2-4	J1 League

Avispa Fukuoka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kashima(away)	2-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(home)	3-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 19, 2026	Osaka(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	JEF United Chiba(away)	2-1	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tokyo Verdy win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Avispa Fukuoka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 20, 2026	Tokyo Verdy 3-4 Avispa Fukuoka	Friendlies Clubs
Nov 8, 2025	Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka	J1 League
May 31, 2025	Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League
Jul 20, 2024	Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League
Apr 28, 2024	Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka	J1 League
Nov 25, 2020	Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka on Jan 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Avispa Fukuoka score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tokyo Verdy	1.1	1.4	5	8/15	6/15
Avispa Fukuoka	1.5	1.3	2	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tokyo Verdy sit 17th in J1 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Avispa Fukuoka sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Avispa Fukuoka	3	1	0	2	5	4	3
17	Tokyo Verdy	3	0	2	1	2	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka?: The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka played?: Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.