Gernika vs Marino de Luanco: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Urbieta, Gernika-Lumo
The Footlab AI model makes Gernika the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Marino de Luanco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gernika wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,921 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gernika vs Marino de Luanco?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Gernika (1,862) and Marino de Luanco (1,845).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gernika vs Marino de Luanco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gernika
Not enough data to predict the Gernika lineup.
Marino de Luanco
Not enough data to predict the Marino de Luanco lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gernika have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Marino de Luanco have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Llanera(away) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Gernika score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Marino de Luanco score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gernika | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Marino de Luanco | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gernika sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (9 points from 7 matches) and Marino de Luanco sit 15th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gernika | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 9 |
| 15 | Marino de Luanco | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Gernika vs Marino de Luanco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gernika vs Marino de Luanco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gernika the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Marino de Luanco.
- Where and when is Gernika vs Marino de Luanco played?
- Gernika vs Marino de Luanco is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Urbieta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.