Ghazl El Mehalla vs Zamalek SC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)El Mahalla Stadium, El-Mahalla El-Kubra
The Footlab model makes Zamalek SC the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 20% for Ghazl El Mehalla. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ghazl El Mehalla vs Zamalek SC?
Zamalek SC starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,980 vs 1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ghazl El Mehalla have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Zamalek SC have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Future FC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Ceramica Cleopatra(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | USM Alger(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| May 9, 2026 | USM Alger(away) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| May 5, 2026 | Smouha SC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ghazl El Mehalla win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Zamalek SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Zamalek SC 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Ghazl El Mehalla 0-4 Zamalek SC | Premier League |
| Jun 27, 2023 | Zamalek SC 2-0 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| Jan 24, 2023 | Ghazl El Mehalla 2-1 Zamalek SC | Premier League |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Ghazl El Mehalla 0-2 Zamalek SC | Premier League |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Zamalek SC 0-3 Ghazl El Mehalla | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Zamalek SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla on Oct 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ghazl El Mehalla score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zamalek SC score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghazl El Mehalla | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Zamalek SC | 0.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ghazl El Mehalla sit 20th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Zamalek SC sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Zamalek SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Zamalek SC?
- The Footlab model makes Zamalek SC the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 20% for Ghazl El Mehalla.
- Where and when is Ghazl El Mehalla vs Zamalek SC played?
- Ghazl El Mehalla vs Zamalek SC is played on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at El Mahalla Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.