Moreirense vs Sporting CP: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Moreirense. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moreirense vs Sporting CP?
Sporting CP is a heavy favourite: 2,496 Elo points against 2,099, a 397-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Moreirense vs Sporting CP
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Moreirense
4-2-3-1- 79L. Vonić
- 23N. John
- 7Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça
- 65Guilherme Liberato
- 10Kiko Bondoso
- 19Tiago Andrade
- 66Gilberto Batista
- 27Kiko
- 26Maracás
- 76Dinis Pinto
- 13André Ferreira
Sporting CP
4-3-3- 10Geny Catamo
- 19N. Irankunda
- 97L. Suárez
- 5Sergi Altimira
- 77I. Doumbia
- 4S. Andersen
- 25Gonçalo Inácio
- 22Iván Fresneda
- 20M. Araújo
- 72Eduardo Quaresma
- 1Rui Silva
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moreirense have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Sporting CP have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guimaraes(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lens(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Moreirense win, 0 draws, 5 Sporting CP wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Moreirense 0-3 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Sporting CP 3-0 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Sporting CP 3-1 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Moreirense 2-1 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 19, 2024 | Moreirense 0-2 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Sporting CP 3-0 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Moreirense vs Sporting CP on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Moreirense score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Sporting CP | 2.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moreirense sit 12th in Primeira Liga (8 points from 8 matches) and Sporting CP sit 3rd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 18 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Moreirense vs Sporting CP?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moreirense vs Sporting CP?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Moreirense.
- Where and when is Moreirense vs Sporting CP played?
- Moreirense vs Sporting CP is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.