Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Racing Santander II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Malecón, Torrelavega
The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Racing Santander II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Racing Santander II?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Gimnástica Torrelavega (1,974) and Racing Santander II (1,947).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Torrelavega have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Racing Santander II have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bezana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Barquereño(away) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 4-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Ávila(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gimnástica Torrelavega win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Racing Santander II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | Racing Santander II 0-1 Gimnástica Torrelavega | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Gimnástica Torrelavega 1-1 Racing Santander II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Racing Santander II 2-1 Gimnástica Torrelavega | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Gimnástica Torrelavega 0-3 Racing Santander II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Gimnástica Torrelavega 2-0 Racing Santander II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Racing Santander II 0-1 Gimnástica Torrelavega | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Racing Santander II vs Gimnástica Torrelavega on Feb 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnástica Torrelavega score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander II score 2.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Racing Santander II | 2.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Racing Santander II | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 63 | 50 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Racing Santander II?
- The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Racing Santander II.
- Where and when is Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Racing Santander II played?
- Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Racing Santander II is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Malecón, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.