Arosa vs Marino de Luanco: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio A Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa
The Footlab AI model makes Arosa the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Marino de Luanco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arosa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arosa vs Marino de Luanco?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Arosa (1,874) and Marino de Luanco (1,863).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arosa vs Marino de Luanco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arosa
Not enough data to predict the Arosa lineup.
Marino de Luanco
Not enough data to predict the Marino de Luanco lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arosa have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Marino de Luanco have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bergantiños(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 2-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Llanera(away) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Arosa wins, 0 draws, 0 Marino de Luanco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | Arosa 2-1 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Marino de Luanco 0-2 Arosa | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Arosa vs Marino de Luanco on Jan 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Arosa score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Marino de Luanco score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arosa | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Marino de Luanco | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arosa sit 17th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (4 points from 6 matches) and Marino de Luanco sit 15th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Marino de Luanco | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
| 17 | Arosa | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Arosa vs Marino de Luanco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arosa vs Marino de Luanco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arosa the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Marino de Luanco.
- Where and when is Arosa vs Marino de Luanco played?
- Arosa vs Marino de Luanco is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.