Arosa vs Marino de Luanco: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio A Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa
The Footlab model makes Arosa the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Marino de Luanco. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arosa vs Marino de Luanco?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Arosa (1,904) and Marino de Luanco (1,876).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arosa have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Marino de Luanco have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Celtiga(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Cambados(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Barco(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Arosa win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Marino de Luanco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | Arosa 2-1 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Marino de Luanco 0-2 Arosa | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Arosa vs Marino de Luanco on Jan 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Arosa score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Marino de Luanco score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arosa | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Marino de Luanco | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Marino de Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31 | 26 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arosa vs Marino de Luanco?
- The Footlab model makes Arosa the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Marino de Luanco.
- Where and when is Arosa vs Marino de Luanco played?
- Arosa vs Marino de Luanco is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.