Sestao River vs Basconia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao
The Footlab AI model makes Sestao River the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Basconia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sestao River wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sestao River vs Basconia?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Sestao River (1,959) and Basconia (1,965).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sestao River vs Basconia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sestao River
Not enough data to predict the Sestao River lineup.
Basconia
Not enough data to predict the Basconia lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sestao River have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Basconia have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 3-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Terrassa(home) | 4-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Sestao River win, 1 draw, 1 Basconia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sestao River 2-2 Basconia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Basconia 3-1 Sestao River | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Basconia 2-3 Sestao River | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Sestao River vs Basconia on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sestao River score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Basconia score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sestao River | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Basconia | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sestao River sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (13 points from 6 matches) and Basconia sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sestao River | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Basconia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
A question about Sestao River vs Basconia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sestao River vs Basconia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sestao River the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Basconia.
- Where and when is Sestao River vs Basconia played?
- Sestao River vs Basconia is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Llanas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.