Gernika vs Eibar II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Urbieta, Gernika-Lumo
The Footlab model makes Gernika the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Eibar II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gernika vs Eibar II?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Gernika (1,837) and Eibar II (1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gernika have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Eibar II have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tudelano(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Utebo(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Náxara(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ejea(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ebro(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Utebo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Gernika win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Eibar II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Eibar II 3-2 Gernika | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Gernika 1-2 Eibar II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Gernika 0-4 Eibar II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Eibar II 1-2 Gernika | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Gernika score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar II score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gernika | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Eibar II | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gernika vs Eibar II?
- The Footlab model makes Gernika the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Eibar II.
- Where and when is Gernika vs Eibar II played?
- Gernika vs Eibar II is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Urbieta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.