Portugalete vs Amorebieta: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 · Matchday 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Florida, Portugalete
The Footlab AI model makes Portugalete the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Amorebieta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Portugalete wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,780 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portugalete vs Amorebieta?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Portugalete (1,933) and Amorebieta (1,902).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Portugalete vs Amorebieta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Portugalete
Not enough data to predict the Portugalete lineup.
Amorebieta
Not enough data to predict the Amorebieta lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 10:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portugalete have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Amorebieta have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eibar II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Portugalete win, 1 draw, 2 Amorebieta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amorebieta 1-2 Portugalete | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Portugalete 0-3 Amorebieta | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 23, 2021 | Amorebieta 2-1 Portugalete | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Portugalete 0-0 Amorebieta | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Amorebieta vs Portugalete on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Portugalete score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Amorebieta score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugalete | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Amorebieta | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portugalete sit 6th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (16 points from 10 matches) and Amorebieta sit 7th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Portugalete | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Amorebieta | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 16 |
A question about Portugalete vs Amorebieta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portugalete vs Amorebieta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Portugalete the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Amorebieta.
- Where and when is Portugalete vs Amorebieta played?
- Portugalete vs Amorebieta is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Florida, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.