GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Katowice, Katowice
The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Cracovia Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate GKS Katowice (1,994) and Cracovia Krakow (1,945).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GKS Katowice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Cracovia Krakow have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Motor Lublin(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 GKS Katowice win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Cracovia Krakow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow 1-0 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 19, 2025 | GKS Katowice 0-3 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| May 11, 2025 | GKS Katowice 2-1 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Cracovia Krakow 3-4 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Cracovia Krakow vs GKS Katowice on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GKS Katowice score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GKS Katowice | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Cracovia Krakow | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GKS Katowice sit 6th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 4 matches) and Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow?
- The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Cracovia Krakow.
- Where and when is GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow played?
- GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Katowice, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026JagielloniavsLegia Warszawa
- Sep 19, 2026Wisla KrakowvsSlask Wroclaw
- Sep 19, 2026Zaglebie LubinvsWisla Plock
- Sep 19, 2026Korona KielcevsRaków Częstochowa
- Sep 19, 2026Lech PoznanvsRadomiak Radom
- Sep 19, 2026Piast GliwicevsPogon Szczecin
- Sep 19, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsWieczysta Kraków
- Sep 19, 2026Motor LublinvsGornik Zabrze