Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Wisla Plock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Zaglebie Lubin (1,948) and Wisla Plock (1,927).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Lubin have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Wisla Plock have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Zaglebie Lubin win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Wisla Plock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Wisla Plock 2-1 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Wisla Plock 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 18, 2022 | Zaglebie Lubin 3-1 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 20, 2021 | Wisla Plock 4-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock on Mar 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Lubin | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Wisla Plock | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zaglebie Lubin sit 5th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Wisla Plock sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 15 | Wisla Plock | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock?
- The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Wisla Plock.
- Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock played?
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla Plock is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026JagielloniavsLegia Warszawa
- Sep 19, 2026Wisla KrakowvsSlask Wroclaw
- Sep 19, 2026Korona KielcevsRaków Częstochowa
- Sep 19, 2026Lech PoznanvsRadomiak Radom
- Sep 19, 2026Piast GliwicevsPogon Szczecin
- Sep 19, 2026GKS KatowicevsCracovia Krakow
- Sep 19, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsWieczysta Kraków
- Sep 19, 2026Motor LublinvsGornik Zabrze