Where and when is Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa played?

Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at EXBUD Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)EXBUD Arena, Kielce

Korona Kielce

Raków Częstochowa

The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Raków Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Korona Kielce (1,943) and Raków Częstochowa (2,031).

Korona Kielce win40 %

Draw26 %

Raków Częstochowa win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Raków Częstochowa have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Korona Kielce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Widzew Łódź(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026	Jagiellonia(away)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 17, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

Raków Częstochowa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	HNK Hajduk Split(away)	2-2	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026	Hammarby FF(away)	1-0	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026	Hammarby FF(home)	0-0	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026	Slask Wroclaw(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Korona Kielce win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Raków Częstochowa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 8, 2026	Raków Częstochowa 2-0 Korona Kielce	Ekstraklasa
Nov 9, 2025	Korona Kielce 1-4 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa
May 17, 2025	Korona Kielce 1-1 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa
Nov 24, 2024	Raków Częstochowa 1-1 Korona Kielce	Ekstraklasa
Mar 13, 2024	Korona Kielce 0-2 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa
Dec 17, 2023	Raków Częstochowa 1-0 Korona Kielce	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce on May 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Korona Kielce	0.9	0.9	4	7/15	2/15
Raków Częstochowa	1.7	1.3	5	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Korona Kielce sit 11th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 4 matches) and Raków Częstochowa sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Korona Kielce	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
18	Raków Częstochowa	3	0	0	3	3	6	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa?: The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Raków Częstochowa.
Where and when is Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa played?: Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at EXBUD Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.