Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Zabrze
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Górnik Zabrze II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Olimpia Grudziądz starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,924 vs 1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Zabrze II have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Olimpia Grudziądz have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 22, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(home) | 6-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 13, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | SKRA Częstochowa(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 5-3 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(away) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Górnik Zabrze II score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Grudziądz score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Zabrze II | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Olimpia Grudziądz | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Górnik Zabrze II.
- Where and when is Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz played?
- Górnik Zabrze II vs Olimpia Grudziądz is played on September 2, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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