Grobiņa vs Riga: prediction and stats
VirsligaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Grobiņas stadionā, Grobiņa
The Footlab AI model makes Riga the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Grobiņa. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grobiņa vs Riga?
Riga is a heavy favourite: 2,034 Elo points against 1,523, a 511-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Grobiņa vs Riga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Grobiņa
4-4-2- 99A. Puzirevskis
- 13A. Aruna
- 6M. Corryn
- 87J. Ribeiro
- 88I. Tyshchenko
- 11O. Raščevskis
- 15A. Jovanović
- 3D. Družiņins
- 27R. Baravykas
- 2K. Rupeiks
- 21R. Ozols
Riga
4-2-3-1- 19M. Badamosi
- 18S. Oulad M'Hand
- 40A. Ankrah
- 7R. Aouani
- 22M. Diop
- 8Iago Siqueira Augusto
- 5K. Wassom
- 21B. Musah
- 23M. Toņiševs
- 17A. Salazar
- 91F. Orols
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grobiņa have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Riga have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tukums(away) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FS Jelgava(home) | 0-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | BFC Daugavpils(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | FK Liepaja(away) | 1-3 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aris(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FS Jelgava(away) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Super Nova(away) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Auda(home) | 2-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | BFC Daugavpils(home) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Grobiņa wins, 1 draw, 5 Riga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Riga 4-0 Grobiņa | Virsliga |
| May 29, 2026 | Riga 2-0 Grobiņa | Virsliga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Grobiņa 0-3 Riga | Virsliga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Grobiņa 1-1 Riga | Virsliga |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Riga 2-0 Grobiņa | Virsliga |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Grobiņa 0-2 Riga | Virsliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Grobiņa score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Riga score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grobiņa | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Riga | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grobiņa sit 8th in Virsliga (26 points from 31 matches) and Riga sit 2nd (73 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Riga | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 86 | 30 | 73 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 52 | 26 |
A question about Grobiņa vs Riga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grobiņa vs Riga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Riga the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Grobiņa.
- Where and when is Grobiņa vs Riga played?
- Grobiņa vs Riga is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Grobiņas stadionā, in the Virsliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.