Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito: prediction and stats
Liga ProRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt, Guayaquil
The Footlab model makes LDU de Quito the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Guayaquil City FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito?
LDU de Quito starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,881 vs 1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guayaquil City FC have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; LDU de Quito have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario(away) | 3-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Libertad(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Emelec(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Macara(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Emelec(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Aucas(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Guayaquil City FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 LDU de Quito win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | LDU de Quito 1-0 Guayaquil City FC | Liga Pro |
| Sep 5, 2023 | LDU de Quito 2-0 Guayaquil City FC | Liga Pro |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Guayaquil City FC 1-2 LDU de Quito | Liga Pro |
| Oct 15, 2022 | LDU de Quito 2-0 Guayaquil City FC | Liga Pro |
| May 22, 2022 | Guayaquil City FC 2-2 LDU de Quito | Liga Pro |
| Oct 3, 2021 | LDU de Quito 3-1 Guayaquil City FC | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guayaquil City FC score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; LDU de Quito score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guayaquil City FC | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| LDU de Quito | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guayaquil City FC sit 10th in Liga Pro (33 points from 26 matches) and LDU de Quito sit 5th (41 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 20 | 41 |
| 10 | Guayaquil City FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito?
- The Footlab model makes LDU de Quito the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Guayaquil City FC.
- Where and when is Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito played?
- Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.