Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca: prediction and stats
Liga ProRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Bellavista de Ambato, Ambato
The Footlab model makes Tecnico Universitario the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Deportivo Cuenca. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Tecnico Universitario (1,594) and Deportivo Cuenca (1,685).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tecnico Universitario have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Deportivo Cuenca have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC(home) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Emelec(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 0-5 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Manta FC(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Orense SC(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Manta FC(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Emelec(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tecnico Universitario win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Deportivo Cuenca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Tecnico Universitario 0-2 Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| May 17, 2025 | Deportivo Cuenca 2-0 Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
| Apr 18, 2024 | Tecnico Universitario 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tecnico Universitario score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Cuenca score 0.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tecnico Universitario | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 0.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tecnico Universitario sit 14th in Liga Pro (26 points from 26 matches) and Deportivo Cuenca sit 11th (32 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 32 | 32 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 23 | 37 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca?
- The Footlab model makes Tecnico Universitario the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Deportivo Cuenca.
- Where and when is Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca played?
- Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Bellavista de Ambato, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.