Orense SC vs Macara: prediction and stats
Liga ProRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala
The Footlab model makes Macara the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Orense SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orense SC vs Macara?
Macara starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,827 vs 1,685).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orense SC have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Macara have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Barcelona SC(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Delfin SC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Libertad(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Santos(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Santos(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Barcelona SC(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Orense SC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Macara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Macara 1-2 Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Orense SC 0-1 Macara | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jun 17, 2025 | Orense SC 1-0 Macara | Liga Pro |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Macara 1-0 Orense SC | Liga Pro |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Orense SC 1-0 Macara | Liga Pro |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Macara 0-0 Orense SC | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Orense SC score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Macara score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orense SC | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Macara | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orense SC sit 12th in Liga Pro (30 points from 26 matches) and Macara sit 4th (42 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Macara | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 25 | 42 |
| 12 | Orense SC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 39 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orense SC vs Macara?
- The Footlab model makes Macara the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Orense SC.
- Where and when is Orense SC vs Macara played?
- Orense SC vs Macara is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio 9 de Mayo, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.