Emelec vs Leones del Norte: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
Full time
What was the result of Emelec vs Leones del Norte?
Emelec won 2-1 on August 30, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′J. RuízEmelec
- 25′J. AnangonoLeones del Norte
- 90′A. LeguizamónEmelec
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Emelec win at 52%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Emelec vs Leones del Norte
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Emelec
4-2-3-1- 9R. Carrillo
- 15Luis Fragozo
- 7L. Klimowicz
- 19J. Ruíz
- 32J. Valverde
- 5A. Mina
- 3I. Guerrico
- 2A. Leguizamón
- 27F. León
- 13Luis Fernando Gómez Angulo
- 1Mario Alfredo Valero Sánchez
Leones del Norte
5-3-2- 40Juan Luis Anangonó León
- 99C. Solano
- 29P. Madero
- 5T. Coppo
- 6E. Griffa
- 34S. Portocarrero
- 25B. Kreiman
- 23N. Monserrat
- 2J. Morán
- 4R. Arroyo
- 45L. Nazareno
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emelec have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Leones del Norte have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Aucas(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Manta FC(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aucas(away) | 0-3 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Barcelona SC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 30, 2026 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-6 | Copa Ecuador |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Emelec wins, 1 draw, 1 Leones del Norte win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Leones del Norte 2-0 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Leones del Norte 0-0 Emelec | Copa Ecuador |
Last archived meeting: Leones del Norte vs Emelec on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Emelec score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leones del Norte score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | 0.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Leones del Norte | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emelec sit 9th in Liga Pro (42 points from 33 matches) and Leones del Norte sit 10th (40 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Emelec | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 40 | 42 |
| 10 | Leones del Norte | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 39 | 40 |
A question about Emelec vs Leones del Norte?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy