Manta FC vs Barcelona SC: prediction and stats
Liga ProRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Jocay, Manta
The Footlab model makes Barcelona SC the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Manta FC. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manta FC vs Barcelona SC?
Barcelona SC starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,574).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manta FC have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Barcelona SC have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 1-5 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leones del Norte(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 0-1 | Copa Ecuador |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Orense SC(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Macara(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 6, 2026 | LDU Portoviejo(away) | 1-0 | Copa Ecuador |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Leones del Norte(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Manta FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Barcelona SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Barcelona SC 1-1 Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Barcelona SC 1-2 Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Manta FC 2-3 Barcelona SC | Liga Pro |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Manta FC 1-1 Barcelona SC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2021 | Barcelona SC 2-0 Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Manta FC 2-3 Barcelona SC | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Barcelona SC vs Manta FC on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Manta FC score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Barcelona SC score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manta FC | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Barcelona SC | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manta FC sit 16th in Liga Pro (17 points from 26 matches) and Barcelona SC sit 6th (39 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 20 | 39 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 37 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manta FC vs Barcelona SC?
- The Footlab model makes Barcelona SC the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Manta FC.
- Where and when is Manta FC vs Barcelona SC played?
- Manta FC vs Barcelona SC is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Jocay, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.