Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC: prediction and stats
Liga ProRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Cooperativa de Ahorro y Crédito Mushuc Runa, Ambato
The Footlab model makes Mushuc Runa SC the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Delfin SC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Mushuc Runa SC (1,695) and Delfin SC (1,636).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mushuc Runa SC have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Delfin SC have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Barcelona SC(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario(away) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Manta FC(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Libertad(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Aucas(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Cde Juventud Italiana(away) | 1-0 | Copa Ecuador |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Orense SC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 4, 2026 | LDU de Quito(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mushuc Runa SC win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Delfin SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Delfin SC 1-0 Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Delfin SC 3-1 Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC 2-0 Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Delfin SC 4-2 Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
| May 19, 2024 | Mushuc Runa SC 5-0 Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Mushuc Runa SC 2-0 Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mushuc Runa SC score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Delfin SC score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mushuc Runa SC | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Delfin SC | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mushuc Runa SC sit 9th in Liga Pro (33 points from 26 matches) and Delfin SC sit 15th (24 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mushuc Runa SC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 28 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC?
- The Footlab model makes Mushuc Runa SC the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Delfin SC.
- Where and when is Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC played?
- Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC is played on August 28, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Cooperativa de Ahorro y Crédito Mushuc Runa, in the Liga Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.