Aucas vs Libertad: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
Full time
What was the result of Aucas vs Libertad?
Aucas won 1-0 on August 30, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 77′R. QuiñónezAucas
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Aucas win at 62%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Aucas vs Libertad
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Aucas
4-1-4-1- 9R. Monti Azpiazu
- 17C. Zambrano
- 18Andrés David Mena Montenegro
- 21P. Guzmán
- 37A. Zova
- 6A. Spina
- 28R. Quiñónez
- 4M. Burdisso
- 14S. Tapiero
- 16L. Gustavino
- 13Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez
Libertad
5-4-1- 33A. Chére
- 49D. Coronel
- 80X. Pineda
- 63C. Valencia
- 70Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín
- 18Y. Quinonez
- 19O. Quiñónez
- 2R. Morinigo
- 6B. Caicedo
- 17E. Patta
- 12D. Cabezas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aucas have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Libertad have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-1 | Copa Ecuador |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Delfin SC(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 17, 2026 | LDU de Quito(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 12, 2026 | La Unión(away) | 1-1 | Copa Ecuador |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leones del Norte(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Macara(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Orense SC(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aucas wins, 1 draw, 3 Libertad wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Libertad 3-2 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Libertad 3-2 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| May 6, 2025 | Aucas 2-0 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Libertad 1-1 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Aucas 0-1 Libertad | Copa Ecuador |
| May 5, 2024 | Aucas 2-0 Libertad | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Aucas score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Libertad score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Libertad | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aucas sit 5th in Liga Pro (50 points from 32 matches) and Libertad sit 7th (47 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AucasLiga Pro: Championship Group | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 32 | 50 |
| 7 | LibertadLiga Pro: Placement Group | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 35 | 47 |
A question about Aucas vs Libertad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy