Match

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Hamburger SVEintracht Frankfurt

The Footlab model makes Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Hamburger SV (2,071) and Eintracht Frankfurt (2,118).

Hamburger SV win33 %
Draw23 %
Eintracht Frankfurt win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Eintracht Frankfurt have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Verl(away)3-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Toulouse(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Lille(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Everton(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Rapid Vienna(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Eintracht Frankfurt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026SC St. Tönis(away)11-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Brentford(away)0-7Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026FSV Frankfurt(away)5-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Hull City(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hamburger SV win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Eintracht Frankfurt win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Dec 20, 2025Hamburger SV 1-1 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
May 5, 2018Eintracht Frankfurt 3-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Dec 12, 2017Hamburger SV 1-2 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
Mar 18, 2017Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Oct 21, 2016Hamburger SV 0-3 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hamburger SV score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Eintracht Frankfurt score 3.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV1.61.8113/1512/15
Eintracht Frankfurt3.11.7410/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hamburger SV sit 13th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8th (44 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Eintracht Frankfurt34111112616544
13Hamburger SV3491114405438

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
The Footlab model makes Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Hamburger SV.
Where and when is Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt played?
Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Volksparkstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt

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