Match

VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart

VfB StuttgartBayer Leverkusen

The Footlab AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for VfB Stuttgart. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bayer Leverkusen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate VfB Stuttgart (2,290) and Bayer Leverkusen (2,348).

37%24%39%
VfB Stuttgart winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

VfB Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
  1. 9E. Demirović
  1. 6A. Stiller
  2. 26D. Undav
  3. 18J. Leweling
  4. 16A. Karazor
  5. 11B. El Khannouss
  1. 24J. Chabot
  2. 3R. Hendriks
  3. 4J. Vagnoman
  4. 29Finn Jeltsch
  1. 41D. Seimen

Bayer Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
  1. 14P. Schick
  1. 24Aleix García
  2. 30I. Maza
  3. 9Afonso Moreira
  4. 19M. Diaby
  5. 6E. Fernández
  1. 12E. Tapsoba
  2. 3Miguel Gutiérrez
  3. 2F. Medina
  4. 4J. Quansah
  1. 1M. Flekken

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:52 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Bayer Leverkusen have 12, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Hamburger SV(away)0-1Bundesliga
Oct 14, 2026Slovan Bratislava(away)3-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)2-0Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 25, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Bayer Leverkusen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026SC Freiburg(home)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026Lech Poznan(away)4-0UEFA Europa League
Oct 10, 2026FSV Mainz 05(away)4-3Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026RB Leipzig(home)2-0Bundesliga
Sep 16, 2026Celje(home)2-0UEFA Europa League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VfB Stuttgart wins, 3 draws, 1 Bayer Leverkusen win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026VfB Stuttgart 3-1 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Jan 10, 2026Bayer Leverkusen 1-4 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Mar 16, 2025VfB Stuttgart 3-4 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Nov 1, 2024Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Aug 17, 2024Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 VfB StuttgartSuper Cup
Apr 27, 2024Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 VfB StuttgartBundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Stuttgart score 2.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bayer Leverkusen score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfB Stuttgart2.61.157/1511/15
Bayer Leverkusen2.70.978/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfB Stuttgart sit 13th in Bundesliga (6 points from 6 matches) and Bayer Leverkusen sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Bayer Leverkusen641116913
13VfB Stuttgart62048106

A question about VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for VfB Stuttgart.
Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen played?
VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: VfB Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen

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