Match

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund

Borussia DortmundBayern München

The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Borussia Dortmund. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München?

Bayern München starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (2,522 vs 2,321).

25%21%54%
Borussia Dortmund winDrawBayern München win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Borussia Dortmund

3-4-2-1
  1. 9S. Guirassy
  1. 8F. Nmecha
  2. 24D. Svensson
  3. 25J. Veerman
  4. 7J. Bellingham
  5. 26J. Ryerson
  6. 14M. Beier
  1. 3W. Anton
  2. 4N. Schlotterbeck
  3. 22Kouakou Joane Gadou
  1. 1G. Kobel

Bayern München

4-2-3-1
  1. 9H. Kane
  1. 17M. Olise
  2. 6J. Kimmich
  3. 7S. Gnabry
  4. 34I. Saibari
  5. 8T. Bischof
  1. 27K. Laimer
  2. 2D. Upamecano
  3. 19A. Davies
  4. 44J. Stanišić
  1. 40J. Urbig

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 07:26 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Bayern München have 10, 5 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Dortmund
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Real Betis(home)2-1UEFA Champions League
Oct 31, 2026Bayern München(away)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2026Werder Bremen(home)3-2DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)1-0Bundesliga
Oct 20, 2026Sabah FA(away)2-1UEFA Champions League
Bayern München
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Atletico Madrid(away)2-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 31, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 28, 20261. FC Magdeburg(home)6-1DFB Pokal
Oct 25, 2026SC Freiburg(away)3-1Bundesliga
Oct 21, 2026Arsenal(home)2-2UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Borussia Dortmund wins, 3 draws, 3 Bayern München wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Bayern München 2-2 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Aug 22, 2026Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Bayern MünchenSuper Cup
Feb 28, 2026Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Oct 18, 2025Bayern München 2-1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Apr 12, 2025Bayern München 2-2 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Nov 30, 2024Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Bayern MünchenBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund on Oct 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Dortmund score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 3.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Borussia Dortmund2.01.068/1510/15
Bayern München3.41.1411/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd in Bundesliga (18 points from 8 matches) and Bayern München sit 1st (18 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Bayern München853027818
2Borussia Dortmund853014618

A question about Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Borussia Dortmund.
Where and when is Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München played?
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Borussia Dortmund and Bayern München

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