Match

FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Elversberg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)MEWA ARENA, Mainz

FSV Mainz 05SV Elversberg

The Footlab AI model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for SV Elversberg. The most likely score is 1-1. If FSV Mainz 05 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,795 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Elversberg?

On Elo ratings, FSV Mainz 05 has 2,108 points and SV Elversberg 2,094.

53%23%24%
FSV Mainz 05 winDrawSV Elversberg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Elversberg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FSV Mainz 05

3-5-2
  1. 9P. Tietz
  2. 23S. Becker
  1. 2P. Mwene
  2. 6K. Sano
  3. 10N. Amiri
  4. 19A. Caci
  5. 7Lee Jae-Sung
  1. 4S. Posch
  2. 48K. Potulski
  3. 21D. da Costa
  1. 1A. Schwolow

SV Elversberg

4-2-3-1
  1. 42D. Mokwa
  1. 8Ł. Poręba
  2. 25L. Petkov
  3. 43F. Keidel
  4. 7M. Krattenmacher
  5. 40Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka
  1. 21L. Günther
  2. 19L. Pinckert
  3. 31M. Rohr
  4. 26L. Sirch
  1. 20N. Kristof

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 03:57 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Mainz 05 have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; SV Elversberg have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2026SV Elversberg(away)1-4Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2026VfL Bochum(away)0-2DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026Werder Bremen(home)2-3Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026FC Schalke 04(away)1-0Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)3-4Bundesliga
SV Elversberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2026FSV Mainz 05(home)4-1Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)0-2DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-4Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026FC Augsburg(home)4-3Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026Union Berlin(away)0-1Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 FSV Mainz 05 win, 1 draw, 1 SV Elversberg win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2026SV Elversberg 4-1 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Aug 12, 2023SV Elversberg 0-1 FSV Mainz 05DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2021SV Elversberg 2-2 FSV Mainz 05DFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 on Oct 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FSV Mainz 05 score 2.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SV Elversberg score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FSV Mainz 052.61.577/1511/15
SV Elversberg2.11.7210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FSV Mainz 05 sit 10th in Bundesliga (10 points from 8 matches) and SV Elversberg sit 7th (13 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7SV Elversberg8413161613
10FSV Mainz 058314171710

A question about FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Elversberg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Elversberg?
The Footlab AI model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for SV Elversberg.
Where and when is FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Elversberg played?
FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Elversberg is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at MEWA ARENA, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FSV Mainz 05 and SV Elversberg

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