Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin played?

1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln

1. FC Köln

Union Berlin

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate 1. FC Köln (2,048) and Union Berlin (2,031).

1. FC Köln win47 %

Draw23 %

Union Berlin win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Köln have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Union Berlin have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga

Union Berlin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Eintracht Braunschweig(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Ipswich(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Aris(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 2, 2026	Cagliari(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1. FC Köln win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Union Berlin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Union Berlin 2-2 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2025	1. FC Köln 0-1 Union Berlin	Bundesliga
May 11, 2024	1. FC Köln 3-2 Union Berlin	Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2023	Union Berlin 2-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Mar 4, 2023	Union Berlin 0-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2022	1. FC Köln 0-1 Union Berlin	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Union Berlin score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15
Union Berlin	2.5	1.9	1	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Köln sit 14th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and Union Berlin sit 11th (39 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44	58	39
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?: The Footlab model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Union Berlin.
Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin played?: 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.