Where and when is RB Leipzig vs FC Schalke 04 played?

RB Leipzig vs FC Schalke 04 is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

RB Leipzig vs FC Schalke 04: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig

FC Schalke 04

The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for FC Schalke 04. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs FC Schalke 04?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (2,211 vs 2,047).

RB Leipzig win58 %

Draw22 %

FC Schalke 04 win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; FC Schalke 04 have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RB Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Eintracht Trier(away)	6-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Verl(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FC Ingolstadt 04(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

FC Schalke 04
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Real Madrid(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Atalanta(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Hessen Kassel(away)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 RB Leipzig win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FC Schalke 04 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 27, 2023	RB Leipzig 4-2 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2023	FC Schalke 04 1-6 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Feb 6, 2021	FC Schalke 04 0-3 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2020	RB Leipzig 4-0 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga
Feb 22, 2020	FC Schalke 04 0-5 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Sep 28, 2019	RB Leipzig 1-3 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs FC Schalke 04 on May 27, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FC Schalke 04 score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig	2.2	1.4	5	9/15	12/15
FC Schalke 04	1.8	1.3	5	6/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66	47	65

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs FC Schalke 04?: The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for FC Schalke 04.
Where and when is RB Leipzig vs FC Schalke 04 played?: RB Leipzig vs FC Schalke 04 is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.