Where and when is SC Freiburg vs FC Augsburg played?

SC Freiburg vs FC Augsburg is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SC Freiburg vs FC Augsburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC Freiburg

FC Augsburg

The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs FC Augsburg?

SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (2,192 vs 2,070).

SC Freiburg win54 %

Draw21 %

FC Augsburg win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; FC Augsburg have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Freiburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)	5-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 20, 2026	Motherwell(away)	3-1	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 15, 2026	Crystal Palace(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Strasbourg(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Derby(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

FC Augsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sassuolo(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026	Schwaz(away)	15-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026	Bournemouth(home)	2-5	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SC Freiburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC Augsburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 18, 2026	FC Augsburg 2-2 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Aug 23, 2025	SC Freiburg 1-3 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Mar 2, 2025	FC Augsburg 0-0 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Oct 19, 2024	SC Freiburg 3-1 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Feb 25, 2024	FC Augsburg 2-1 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2023	SC Freiburg 2-0 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC Freiburg score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg	2.2	1.5	2	11/15	13/15
FC Augsburg	2.5	2.0	2	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Freiburg sit 7th in Bundesliga (47 points from 34 matches) and FC Augsburg sit 9th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51	57	47
9	FC Augsburg	34	12	7	15	45	61	43

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs FC Augsburg?: The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is SC Freiburg vs FC Augsburg played?: SC Freiburg vs FC Augsburg is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.