Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Hamburger SV: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach
The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Hamburger SV?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,107) and Hamburger SV (2,071).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Hamburger SV have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Verl(away) | 3-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lille(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Everton(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Hamburger SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Hamburger SV 0-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 Hamburger SV | Bundesliga |
| May 12, 2018 | Hamburger SV 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Dec 15, 2017 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 Hamburger SV | Bundesliga |
| Mar 12, 2017 | Hamburger SV 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Mar 1, 2017 | Hamburger SV 1-2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | DFB Pokal |
Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Hamburger SV | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and Hamburger SV sit 13th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Hamburger SV?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Hamburger SV.
- Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Hamburger SV played?
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Hamburger SV is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Bayern MünchenvsFSV Mainz 05
- Mar 13, 2027Werder BremenvsVfB Stuttgart
- Mar 13, 2027Bayer Leverkusenvs1. FC Köln
- Mar 13, 2027Eintracht FrankfurtvsSC Paderborn 07
- Mar 13, 2027FC AugsburgvsRB Leipzig
- Mar 13, 2027FC Schalke 04vs1899 Hoffenheim
- Mar 13, 2027Union BerlinvsSC Freiburg
- Mar 13, 2027SV ElversbergvsBorussia Dortmund