Where and when is Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod played?

Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod is played on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Netanya Stadium, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Netanya Stadium, Netanya

Hapoel Hadera

Maccabi Ashdod

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Hadera. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Hapoel Hadera (1,645) and Maccabi Ashdod (1,688).

Hapoel Hadera win33 %

Draw26 %

Maccabi Ashdod win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Hadera have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Maccabi Ashdod have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Hadera
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 25, 2026	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)	1-6	Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026	Hapoel Acre(away)	0-0	Liga Leumit
May 14, 2026	Hapoel Ra'anana(home)	3-3	Liga Leumit
May 8, 2026	Hapoel Afula(home)	1-1	Liga Leumit
May 5, 2026	Ironi Modi'in(home)	1-0	Liga Leumit

Maccabi Ashdod
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Hapoel Marmorek(away)	1-1	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	FC Jerusalem(away)	3-3	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Tzeirey Tira(home)	0-3	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away)	3-2	Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026	Kfar Saba 1928(home)	1-1	Liga Alef

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Hadera score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Hadera	1.1	2.2	2	10/15	10/15
Maccabi Ashdod	2.0	1.9	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Maccabi Ashdod	21	7	7	7	37	35	28

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod?: The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Hadera.
Where and when is Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod played?: Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ashdod is played on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Netanya Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.