Hollandia vs Excelsior '31: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Juliana Sportpark, Hoorn
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Hollandia. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,146 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hollandia vs Excelsior '31?
Excelsior '31 starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (1,868 vs 1,643).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hollandia vs Excelsior '31
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hollandia
4-3-3- 18J. Koeman
- 14N. Koster
- 13F. Vrenegoor
- 30Bart Spil
- 11D. Jansen
- MM. Vissie
- 2R. Fecunda
- 5M. Manshanden
- 4D. Inyamah
- 23N. Maijenburg
- 21H. Veltman
Excelsior '31
Not enough data to predict the Excelsior '31 lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 07:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hollandia have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Excelsior '31 have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | SVZW(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Staphorst(home) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hercules(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 5-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC '34(home) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
How many goals should we expect?
Hollandia score 1.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior '31 score 2.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hollandia | 1.8 | 2.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Excelsior '31 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hollandia sit 17th in Derde Divisie (4 points from 9 matches) and Excelsior '31 sit 4th (22 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Excelsior '31 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 22 |
| 17 | Hollandia | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 27 | 4 |
A question about Hollandia vs Excelsior '31?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hollandia vs Excelsior '31?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Hollandia.
- Where and when is Hollandia vs Excelsior '31 played?
- Hollandia vs Excelsior '31 is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Juliana Sportpark, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.