Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Dagenham & Redbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Horsham (1,816) and Dagenham & Redbridge (1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Dagenham & Redbridge have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salisbury(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Horsham win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Dagenham & Redbridge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Horsham 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge | National League - South |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Dagenham & Redbridge 1-2 Horsham | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge on Feb 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dagenham & Redbridge score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horsham | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Horsham sit 2nd in National League - South (8 points from 4 matches) and Dagenham & Redbridge sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Horsham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge?
- The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Dagenham & Redbridge.
- Where and when is Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge played?
- Horsham vs Dagenham & Redbridge is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Maidstone UtdvsWeston-super-Mare
- Sep 5, 2026TorquayvsFolkestone Invicta
- Sep 5, 2026DovervsMaidenhead
- Sep 5, 2026Billericay TownvsDorking Wanderers
- Sep 5, 2026Slough TownvsBraintree
- Sep 5, 2026Chelmsford CityvsSalisbury
- Sep 5, 2026Truro CityvsChesham United
- Sep 5, 2026AFC TottonvsHampton & Richmond