Where and when is Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas played?

Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Shell Energy Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, Texas

Houston Dynamo

FC Dallas

The Footlab model makes Houston Dynamo the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for FC Dallas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Houston Dynamo (1,837) and FC Dallas (1,852).

Houston Dynamo win48 %

Draw25 %

FC Dallas win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Houston Dynamo have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; FC Dallas have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Houston Dynamo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	St. Louis City(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Vancouver Whitecaps(away)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(home)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 8, 2026	New England Revolution(away)	2-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026	Sporting Kansas City(away)	2-0	Major League Soccer

FC Dallas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Vancouver Whitecaps(away)	0-5	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Real Salt Lake(away)	4-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026	Austin(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Toluca(away)	1-3	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Guadalajara Chivas(away)	1-0	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Houston Dynamo win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC Dallas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	FC Dallas 4-3 Houston Dynamo	Major League Soccer
Feb 11, 2026	FC Dallas 1-2 Houston Dynamo	Friendlies Clubs
May 18, 2025	FC Dallas 0-2 Houston Dynamo	Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025	Houston Dynamo 1-2 FC Dallas	Major League Soccer
Feb 7, 2025	FC Dallas 2-2 Houston Dynamo	Friendlies Clubs
May 19, 2024	Houston Dynamo 1-1 FC Dallas	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Houston Dynamo score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Dallas score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Houston Dynamo	1.7	0.7	8	6/15	7/15
FC Dallas	1.7	1.6	4	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Houston Dynamo sit 2nd in Major League Soccer (38 points from 21 matches) and FC Dallas sit 5th (33 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Houston Dynamo	21	12	2	7	30	26	38
5	FC Dallas	21	9	6	6	38	34	33

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?: The Footlab model makes Houston Dynamo the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for FC Dallas.
Where and when is Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas played?: Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Shell Energy Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.