Inter Turku vs KuPS: prediction and stats
VeikkausliigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Veritas Stadion, Åbo
The Footlab model makes Inter Turku the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for KuPS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter Turku vs KuPS?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Inter Turku (1,963) and KuPS (1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter Turku have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; KuPS have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Turku PS(away) | 0-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | AC Oulu(away) | 3-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FC Vaduz(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lahti(home) | 0-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mariehamn(home) | 2-4 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lahti(away) | 2-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Turku PS(home) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Inter Turku win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 KuPS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | KuPS 1-1 Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | KuPS 3-2 Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Inter Turku 0-3 KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | KuPS 2-1 Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Inter Turku 1-1 KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Inter Turku 1-2 KuPS | Suomen Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Inter Turku score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; KuPS score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Turku | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| KuPS | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter Turku sit 2nd in Veikkausliiga (38 points from 20 matches) and KuPS sit 1st (43 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 43 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 16 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter Turku vs KuPS?
- The Footlab model makes Inter Turku the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for KuPS.
- Where and when is Inter Turku vs KuPS played?
- Inter Turku vs KuPS is played on August 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Veritas Stadion, in the Veikkausliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.