AC Oulu vs SJK: prediction and stats
VeikkausliigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Raatin stadion, Oulu
The Footlab model makes AC Oulu the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for SJK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AC Oulu vs SJK?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate AC Oulu (1,765) and SJK (1,740).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Oulu have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; SJK have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FF Jaro(away) | 1-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 2-3 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ilves(home) | 1-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mariehamn(away) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lahti(home) | 1-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mariehamn(away) | 0-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gnistan(home) | 2-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 3-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FF Jaro(away) | 1-2 | Veikkausliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AC Oulu win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 SJK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | SJK 0-1 AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga |
| Jan 31, 2026 | AC Oulu 3-0 SJK | League Cup |
| Jun 24, 2025 | AC Oulu 2-0 SJK | Suomen Cup |
| May 31, 2025 | AC Oulu 2-2 SJK | Veikkausliiga |
| Apr 23, 2025 | SJK 3-1 AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga |
| Feb 26, 2025 | SJK 1-1 AC Oulu | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
AC Oulu score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SJK score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Oulu | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| SJK | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AC Oulu sit 6th in Veikkausliiga (33 points from 21 matches) and SJK sit 10th (18 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | AC Oulu | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 33 |
| 10 | SJK | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 33 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AC Oulu vs SJK?
- The Footlab model makes AC Oulu the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for SJK.
- Where and when is AC Oulu vs SJK played?
- AC Oulu vs SJK is played on August 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Raatin stadion, in the Veikkausliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.