Ipswich vs Chelsea: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Portman Road, Ipswich, Suffolk
The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Ipswich. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chelsea wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ipswich vs Chelsea?
Chelsea starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (2,268 vs 2,102).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ipswich vs Chelsea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ipswich
4-2-3-1- 19Emersonn
- 23S. Lukić
- 10J. Enciso
- 38D. Maeda
- 12Florentino
- 11J. Philogene
- 26D. O'Shea
- 6I. Diop
- 3L. Davis
- 42A. Ouattara
- 28C. Walton
Chelsea
3-4-3- 17M. Rogers
- 10C. Palmer
- 9João Pedro
- 7Pedro Neto
- 29Pep Chavarría
- 14J. Henderson
- 25M. Caicedo
- 6L. Colwill
- 5M. Lacroix
- 34Joshua Kofi Acheampong
- 1E. Martínez
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ipswich have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Chelsea have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Everton(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 2-4 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 6-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ipswich win, 1 draw, 0 Chelsea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Chelsea 2-2 Ipswich | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2024 | Ipswich 2-0 Chelsea | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ipswich score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chelsea score 2.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Chelsea | 2.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ipswich sit 10th in Premier League (9 points from 6 matches) and Chelsea sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 10 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
A question about Ipswich vs Chelsea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ipswich vs Chelsea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Ipswich.
- Where and when is Ipswich vs Chelsea played?
- Ipswich vs Chelsea is played on December 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Portman Road, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.