Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Nottingham Forest. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newcastle wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Newcastle (2,171) and Nottingham Forest (2,146).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newcastle
4-2-3-1- 20M. Fernandez-Pardo
- 11H. Barnes
- 9Y. Wissa
- 23J. Murphy
- 28J. Willock
- 6Nico González
- 4S. Botman
- 3L. Hall
- 12M. Thiaw
- 67L. Miley
- 21L. Horníček
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1- 19L. Delap
- 3N. Williams
- 10M. Gibbs-White
- 14D. Ndoye
- 24J. McAtee
- 21X. Schlager
- 27D. Muñoz
- 5Murillo
- 2O. Diomande
- 34O. Aina
- 26M. Sels
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nottingham Forest have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Newcastle wins, 2 draws, 0 Nottingham Forest wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Nottingham Forest 1-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Newcastle 2-0 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Newcastle 4-3 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Nottingham Forest 1-3 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Nottingham Forest 1-1 Newcastle | League Cup |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Nottingham Forest 2-3 Newcastle | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nottingham Forest score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newcastle sit 11th in Premier League (8 points from 6 matches) and Nottingham Forest sit 15th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Nottingham Forest.
- Where and when is Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest played?
- Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest is played on December 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at St. James' Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.