Ipswich vs Leicester: prediction and stats
League CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Portman Road, Ipswich, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Ipswich the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Leicester. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ipswich vs Leicester?
Ipswich starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (2,038 vs 1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ipswich have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Leicester have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union Berlin(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oxford United(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Notts County(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Genoa(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ipswich win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Leicester win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Ipswich 1-1 Leicester | Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Leicester 3-1 Ipswich | Championship |
| May 18, 2025 | Leicester 2-0 Ipswich | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Ipswich 1-1 Leicester | Premier League |
| Jan 22, 2024 | Leicester 1-1 Ipswich | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Ipswich 1-1 Leicester | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ipswich score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leicester score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Leicester | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ipswich vs Leicester?
- The Footlab model makes Ipswich the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Leicester.
- Where and when is Ipswich vs Leicester played?
- Ipswich vs Leicester is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Portman Road, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.