Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolves: prediction and stats
League CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Hillsborough, Sheffield
The Footlab model makes Wolves the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Sheffield Wednesday. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolves?
Wolves is a heavy favourite: 2,006 Elo points against 1,672 — a 333-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Wednesday have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Wolves have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Preston(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sheffield Wednesday win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Wolves win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2018 | Sheffield Wednesday 0-2 Wolves | League Cup |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Wolves 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday | Championship |
| Dec 15, 2017 | Sheffield Wednesday 0-1 Wolves | Championship |
| Jan 2, 2017 | Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 Wolves | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Wolves 0-2 Sheffield Wednesday | Championship |
| May 7, 2016 | Wolves 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolves on Aug 28, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Wednesday score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Wolves score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Wolves | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolves?
- The Footlab model makes Wolves the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Sheffield Wednesday.
- Where and when is Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolves played?
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolves is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Hillsborough, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.