Watford vs Peterborough: prediction and stats
League CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
The Footlab model makes Watford the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Peterborough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Watford vs Peterborough?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Watford (1,793) and Peterborough (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Peterborough have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Fiorentina(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | York(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Watford win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Peterborough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | Peterborough 3-2 Watford | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Watford 1-0 Peterborough | Championship |
| Apr 21, 2012 | Peterborough 2-2 Watford | Championship |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Watford 3-2 Peterborough | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Peterborough vs Watford on Apr 13, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Peterborough score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Peterborough | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Watford vs Peterborough?
- The Footlab model makes Watford the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Peterborough.
- Where and when is Watford vs Peterborough played?
- Watford vs Peterborough is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Vicarage Road, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.