Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd: prediction and stats
League CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Ewood Park, Blackburn, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Blackburn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Blackburn (1,858) and Sheffield Utd (1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blackburn have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Sheffield Utd have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Strasbourg(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Blackburn win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sheffield Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Sheffield Utd 1-3 Blackburn | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Blackburn 1-3 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| May 3, 2025 | Sheffield Utd 1-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Blackburn 0-2 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Sheffield Utd 3-2 Blackburn | FA Cup |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Blackburn 1-0 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sheffield Utd vs Blackburn on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blackburn score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sheffield Utd score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Sheffield Utd | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd?
- The Footlab model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Blackburn.
- Where and when is Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd played?
- Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Ewood Park, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.