Where and when is Italy U17 vs Armenia U17 played?

Italy U17 vs Armenia U17 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Italy U17 vs Armenia U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva, Acquaviva

Italy U17

Armenia U17

The Footlab model makes Italy U17 the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Armenia U17. The most likely score is 3-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Italy U17 vs Armenia U17?

Italy U17 is a heavy favourite: 1,787 Elo points against 1,321 — a 466-point gap.

Italy U17 win81 %

Draw12 %

Armenia U17 win7 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy U17 have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Armenia U17 have 2, 1 and 12.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Italy U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 7, 2026	Belgium U17(away)	1-1	UEFA U17 Championship
Jun 4, 2026	Spain U17(home)	1-1	UEFA U17 Championship
Jun 1, 2026	Denmark U17(away)	3-3	UEFA U17 Championship
May 29, 2026	Montenegro U17(away)	3-0	UEFA U17 Championship
May 26, 2026	France U17(home)	1-0	UEFA U17 Championship

Armenia U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Liechtenstein U17(away)	2-1	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 25, 2026	Hungary U17(away)	1-3	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 22, 2026	Luxembourg U17(home)	2-2	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 3, 2025	Cyprus U17(home)	0-1	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 31, 2025	Finland U17(away)	0-2	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

How many goals should we expect?

Italy U17 score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Armenia U17 score 0.6 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Italy U17	1.5	1.1	6	6/15	7/15
Armenia U17	0.6	3.1	1	6/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Italy U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 3 matches) and Armenia U17 sit 3rd (4 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Italy U17	3	3	0	0	9	3	9
3	Armenia U17	3	1	1	1	5	6	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Italy U17 vs Armenia U17?: The Footlab model makes Italy U17 the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Armenia U17.
Where and when is Italy U17 vs Armenia U17 played?: Italy U17 vs Armenia U17 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.