Match

Ituzaingó vs Defensores Unidos: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 37Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Ituzaingó, Ituzaingó, Provincia de Buenos Aires

ItuzaingóDefensores Unidos

The Footlab model makes Defensores Unidos the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Ituzaingó. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ituzaingó vs Defensores Unidos?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Ituzaingó (1,543) and Defensores Unidos (1,567).

Ituzaingó win28 %
Draw33 %
Defensores Unidos win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ituzaingó have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Defensores Unidos have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ituzaingó
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Arsenal Sarandi(away)0-2Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 22, 2026Deportivo Merlo(home)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026Argentino de Merlo(away)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 7, 2026Deportivo Camioneros(home)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026Talleres Remedios(away)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Defensores Unidos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Sportivo Italiano(away)2-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 22, 2026San Martín Burzaco(home)2-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 16, 2026Villa San Carlos(away)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026Liniers(home)2-3Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026Real Pilar(away)1-2Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ituzaingó win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Defensores Unidos win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Defensores Unidos 2-1 ItuzaingóPrimera B Metropolitana
Jul 10, 2022Ituzaingó 1-1 Defensores UnidosPrimera B Metropolitana
Mar 12, 2022Defensores Unidos 1-1 ItuzaingóPrimera B Metropolitana
Feb 27, 2018Ituzaingó 0-1 Defensores UnidosPrimera C
Sep 24, 2017Defensores Unidos 1-0 ItuzaingóPrimera C
May 12, 2014Defensores Unidos 1-0 ItuzaingóPrimera C

Last archived meeting: Defensores Unidos vs Ituzaingó on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ituzaingó score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Defensores Unidos score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ituzaingó0.61.356/154/15
Defensores Unidos0.81.346/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ituzaingó sit 22nd in Primera B Metropolitana (9 points from 21 matches) and Defensores Unidos sit 17th (23 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Defensores Unidos20587182123
17Defensores Unidos3271114283632
22Ituzaingó21161415369
22Ituzaingó3211120194914

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ituzaingó vs Defensores Unidos?
The Footlab model makes Defensores Unidos the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Ituzaingó.
Where and when is Ituzaingó vs Defensores Unidos played?
Ituzaingó vs Defensores Unidos is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Ituzaingó, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ituzaingó and Defensores Unidos

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