Ituzaingó vs Defensores Unidos: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 37Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Ituzaingó, Ituzaingó, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Defensores Unidos the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Ituzaingó. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ituzaingó vs Defensores Unidos?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Ituzaingó (1,543) and Defensores Unidos (1,567).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ituzaingó have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Defensores Unidos have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Arsenal Sarandi(away) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Merlo(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Argentino de Merlo(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Deportivo Camioneros(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Talleres Remedios(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | San Martín Burzaco(home) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Villa San Carlos(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Liniers(home) | 2-3 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Pilar(away) | 1-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ituzaingó win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Defensores Unidos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Defensores Unidos 2-1 Ituzaingó | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Ituzaingó 1-1 Defensores Unidos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Defensores Unidos 1-1 Ituzaingó | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Feb 27, 2018 | Ituzaingó 0-1 Defensores Unidos | Primera C |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Defensores Unidos 1-0 Ituzaingó | Primera C |
| May 12, 2014 | Defensores Unidos 1-0 Ituzaingó | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Defensores Unidos vs Ituzaingó on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ituzaingó score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Defensores Unidos score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituzaingó | 0.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Defensores Unidos | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ituzaingó sit 22nd in Primera B Metropolitana (9 points from 21 matches) and Defensores Unidos sit 17th (23 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 28 | 36 | 32 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 36 | 9 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 19 | 49 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ituzaingó vs Defensores Unidos?
- The Footlab model makes Defensores Unidos the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Ituzaingó.
- Where and when is Ituzaingó vs Defensores Unidos played?
- Ituzaingó vs Defensores Unidos is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Ituzaingó, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Arsenal SarandivsLiniers
- Sep 26, 2026Brown DE AdroguevsDeportivo Camioneros
- Sep 26, 2026FlandriavsDock Sud
- Sep 26, 2026Villa DalminevsUAI Urquiza
- Sep 26, 2026Deportivo LaferrerevsSportivo Italiano
- Sep 26, 2026Talleres RemediosvsSan Martín Burzaco
- Sep 26, 2026Deportivo ArmeniovsDeportivo Merlo
- Sep 26, 2026Argentino de MerlovsVilla San Carlos