Match

Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, Płock

Wisła Płock IIJagiellonia II

The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Wisła Płock II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Wisła Płock II (1,760) and Jagiellonia II (1,773).

Wisła Płock II win36 %
Draw25 %
Jagiellonia II win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisła Płock II have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Jagiellonia II have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wisła Płock II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Olimpia Zambrów(away)3-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Łomża(home)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Jagiellonia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Weszlo(away)0-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(home)3-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Warta Sieradz(away)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Wigry Suwałki(home)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)3-2III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Wisła Płock II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Jagiellonia II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 3, 2026Wisła Płock II 0-4 Jagiellonia IIIII Liga - Group 1
Sep 13, 2025Jagiellonia II 1-1 Wisła Płock IIIII Liga - Group 1
Mar 1, 2025Wisła Płock II 1-1 Jagiellonia IIIII Liga - Group 1
Aug 10, 2024Jagiellonia II 2-3 Wisła Płock IIIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II on Apr 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wisła Płock II score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wisła Płock II1.71.5112/159/15
Jagiellonia II1.61.739/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wisła Płock II sit 9th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia II sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Wisła Płock II5221988
10Jagiellonia II5221998

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II?
The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Wisła Płock II.
Where and when is Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II played?
Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wisła Płock II and Jagiellonia II

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