Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, Płock
The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Wisła Płock II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Wisła Płock II (1,760) and Jagiellonia II (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisła Płock II have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Jagiellonia II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Wisła Płock II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Jagiellonia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Wisła Płock II 0-4 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Jagiellonia II 1-1 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Wisła Płock II 1-1 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Jagiellonia II 2-3 Wisła Płock II | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wisła Płock II score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisła Płock II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Jagiellonia II | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisła Płock II sit 9th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia II sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wisła Płock II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II?
- The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Wisła Płock II.
- Where and when is Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II played?
- Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Sep 26, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsPelikan Łowicz
- Sep 26, 2026SwitvsŁomża
- Sep 26, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsWeszlo
- Sep 26, 2026TroszynvsŁKS Łódź II
- Sep 26, 2026Widzew IIvsWarta Sieradz
- Sep 26, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsMławianka Mława
- Sep 26, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWigry Suwałki