Wisła Kraków II vs Jarosław: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion KS Dalin, Myślenice
The Footlab model makes Wisła Kraków II the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Jarosław. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisła Kraków II vs Jarosław?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Wisła Kraków II (1,799) and Jarosław (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisła Kraków II have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Jarosław have 7, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Star Starachowice(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Wisła Kraków II score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Jarosław score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisła Kraków II | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Jarosław | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/13 | 11/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisła Kraków II sit 4th in III Liga - Group 4 (10 points from 5 matches) and Jarosław sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wisła Kraków II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Jarosław | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisła Kraków II vs Jarosław?
- The Footlab model makes Wisła Kraków II the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Jarosław.
- Where and when is Wisła Kraków II vs Jarosław played?
- Wisła Kraków II vs Jarosław is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion KS Dalin, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Chełmianka ChełmvsStar Starachowice
- Oct 10, 2026KSZO 1929vsBusko-Zdroj
- Oct 10, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsCzarni Połaniec
- Oct 10, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Oct 10, 2026Wiślanie JaśkowicevsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Oct 10, 2026Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Oct 10, 2026NaprzódvsSokół Kolb.
- Oct 10, 2026Moravia MorawicavsWisłoka Dębica