Riga FC II vs Leevon / PPK: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mežaparks Sports Village, Riga
The Footlab model makes Leevon / PPK the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Riga FC II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Riga FC II vs Leevon / PPK?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Riga FC II (1,407) and Leevon / PPK (1,497).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Riga FC II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Leevon / PPK have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Smiltene(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mārupe(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Skanste(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Riga FC II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Leevon / PPK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Leevon / PPK 3-2 Riga FC II | 1. Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Leevon / PPK 0-3 Riga FC II | 1. Liga |
| May 18, 2025 | Riga FC II 1-2 Leevon / PPK | 1. Liga |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Leevon / PPK 1-4 Riga FC II | 1. Liga |
| May 11, 2024 | Riga FC II 2-1 Leevon / PPK | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Leevon / PPK vs Riga FC II on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Riga FC II score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leevon / PPK score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga FC II | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Leevon / PPK | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Riga FC II sit 9th in 1. Liga (10 points from 10 matches) and Leevon / PPK sit 2nd (24 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leevon / PPK | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Leevon / PPK | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 20 | 39 |
| 9 | Riga FC II | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 10 |
| 9 | Riga FC II | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Riga FC II vs Leevon / PPK?
- The Footlab model makes Leevon / PPK the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Riga FC II.
- Where and when is Riga FC II vs Leevon / PPK played?
- Riga FC II vs Leevon / PPK is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mežaparks Sports Village, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.