Rēzekne FA vs Super Nova 2: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sporta Aģentūras Stadions, Rezekne
The Footlab model makes Super Nova 2 the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Rēzekne FA. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rēzekne FA vs Super Nova 2?
Super Nova 2 starts as the favourite with a 258-point Elo edge (1,411 vs 1,153).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rēzekne FA have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Super Nova 2 have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skanste(away) | 1-5 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mārupe(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Skanste(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mārupe(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Rēzekne FA win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Super Nova 2 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Super Nova 2 1-0 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Super Nova 2 vs Rēzekne FA on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rēzekne FA score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Super Nova 2 score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rēzekne FA | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Super Nova 2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rēzekne FA sit 14th in 1. Liga (4 points from 10 matches) and Super Nova 2 sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Super Nova 2 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| 7 | Super Nova 2 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 26 | 24 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 4 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rēzekne FA vs Super Nova 2?
- The Footlab model makes Super Nova 2 the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Rēzekne FA.
- Where and when is Rēzekne FA vs Super Nova 2 played?
- Rēzekne FA vs Super Nova 2 is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sporta Aģentūras Stadions, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.