Rīgas FS II vs Skanste: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on September 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)LNK Sporta Parks (dabīgais), Riga
The Footlab model makes Rīgas FS II the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Skanste. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rīgas FS II vs Skanste?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Rīgas FS II (1,396) and Skanste (1,393).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rīgas FS II have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Skanste have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Metta / LU(away) | 1-12 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 5-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Tukums II(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Super Nova 2(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 5-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mārupe(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Rīgas FS II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Skanste win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Skanste 4-0 Rīgas FS II | 1. Liga |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Skanste 0-3 Rīgas FS II | 1. Liga |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Rīgas FS II 4-0 Skanste | 1. Liga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Rīgas FS II 5-1 Skanste | 1. Liga |
| May 26, 2024 | Skanste 0-5 Rīgas FS II | 1. Liga |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Rīgas FS II 1-3 Skanste | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Skanste vs Rīgas FS II on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rīgas FS II score 1.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Skanste score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rīgas FS II | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Skanste | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rīgas FS II sit 10th in 1. Liga (8 points from 10 matches) and Skanste sit 8th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Skanste | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 8 | Skanste | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 33 | 20 |
| 10 | Rīgas FS II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 8 |
| 11 | Rīgas FS II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 48 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rīgas FS II vs Skanste?
- The Footlab model makes Rīgas FS II the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Skanste.
- Where and when is Rīgas FS II vs Skanste played?
- Rīgas FS II vs Skanste is played on September 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at LNK Sporta Parks (dabīgais), in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.