JEF United Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba
The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Avispa Fukuoka starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JEF United Chiba have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Avispa Fukuoka have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Azul Claro Numazu(home) | 1-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 0-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Verspah Oita(home) | 0-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 2-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(home) | 3-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 JEF United Chiba win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Avispa Fukuoka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | JEF United Chiba 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League |
| May 30, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 JEF United Chiba | J1 League |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 JEF United Chiba | J2 League |
| Sep 2, 2020 | JEF United Chiba 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka | J2 League |
| Jul 20, 2019 | JEF United Chiba 3-0 Avispa Fukuoka | J2 League |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 JEF United Chiba | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: JEF United Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Avispa Fukuoka score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JEF United Chiba | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Avispa Fukuoka | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JEF United Chiba sit 20th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Avispa Fukuoka sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JEF United Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka?
- The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for JEF United Chiba.
- Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka played?
- JEF United Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka is played on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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